Oscar predictions

This year I'm on the verge of having seen all of the Best Picture nominees. Here's my order of preference on who should win, from favorite to least favorite:

Revolutionary Road - perfect demonstration of Satre's maxim "Hell is other people." This movie shows that, as hard as we may try, it is almost impossible to do the right thing, especially in a family.

Frost/Nixon - an over-the-hill British talk show host interviews the only President in US history to resign in disgrace. When I heard this is what the movie's about I thought "who cares, it happened 30 years ago and I already know all the facts." But the movie managed to have me give a damn about what's happening on the screen for 2 hours so it must be well made.

Slumdog Millionaire - a disturbing and graphic depiction of hard life in the slums, told through an implausible story framed by the Indian version of Who Wants to be a Millionaire. I may give this film a higher rating if I haven't already seen lots of movies about India, poverty, and poverty in India. I bet most of the people who gush over this film have not read Oliver Twist or seen many movies about India.

The Reader - one of the worst movies about the Holocaust I've ever seen. It couldn't decide whether it's about how the postwar generation in Germany came to terms with the Holocaust, or about those who are complicit during the war. The only good thing was Kate Winslet's effective portrayal of the banality of evil.

I plan to see The Curious Life of Benjamin Button this weekend. I have a feeling that it will end up in the middle of this list.